The Premier League off season is often a difficult time for fans as they look for ways to fill the gap left by the beautiful game. It’s a time for players and coaches to recharge their batteries on the back of what was a hectic campaign, before setting out their goals for the coming season.
That leaves fans to reflect on the year we’ve just had, picking through what went right, what should be improved on and expectations for next term. There’s also the transfer window to hold our interest, teams making moves to add new additions to the squad in the hope it improves their chances of success. Deals done at this time of year could prove the difference between winning and losing when things get serious in August.
A star player sold, or big money spent on a flop. A young gun allowed to go out on loan or a wonderkid snapped up by a rival due to a lowball offer made by your chairman. The summer break is a crucial time and followers often get a feel for what to expect from teams by how they handle their business in pre-season.
That unpredictability also makes English Premier League betting endlessly entertaining. With so many markets to bet on, however, and so many bookies to bet with, it can be hard to know where to start. That’s exactly why we’ve put together this handy guide to EPL betting.
Premier League Info For 2019/20
Before starting your Premier League betting journey, there are a few crucial things you need to be aware of.
The 2018/19 Premier League season begins on 9th August 2019, and finishes on 17th May 2020. Each team will play 38 games within that span.
Other important dates to be aware of are the transfer windows.
For the second time in EPL history, the summer transfer window will close before the season starts. That will happen on 17:00 on Thursday, August 8, 2019
Relegated and Promoted Clubs
As always, three clubs were relegated from the Premier League at the end of the 2017/18 season, and three were promoted from the Championship.
The three relegated clubs were:
- Cardiff City
- Huddersfield Town
The three promoted clubs were:
- Norwich City (Champions)
- Sheffield United
- Aston Villa (Play-Offs Winners)
Premier League Betting Tips
There are a few Premiership betting tips which you absolutely must be aware of ahead of the new season.
These are the three most important:
1. Choose the Right Bookie.
We’ll talk about this in more detail below. In short, however, it’s highly worth putting the time into finding the right bookie for you. Have a good look around a few different sites, look into the sign up offers and ongoing promotions, and read plenty of reviews before making your pick.
2. Check the Odds
Putting down a good bet isn’t as simple as just wagering on what you think will happen. You also want to get good value.
If Man City are playing Cardiff at home, for example, they’ll be massive, odds-on favourites to win. You’d have to bet so much money to make a profit that it’s simply not worth it.
If Leicester are playing Crystal Palace, on the other hand, the odds will be much more favourable on all three outcomes. It’d be more profitable to focus on this game.
Also, consider checking the odds regularly in the days before a match. If they’re going significantly up or down, this gives you an idea of what most people are betting on.
If Leicester start at 4/1 to beat Palace, for example, then you check back and they’re down to 2/1, that’s a sign lots of people think the Foxes are good value.
3. Listen to the Experts
The tricky thing about football is that everyone considers themselves an expert, from Alan Shearer to your mate Alan at the pub.
Do your research, and find experts who give sound, consistent and smart advice. Look for people who both watch the games, and use statistical analysis.
How to Choose a Site for Premier League Betting
When it comes to betting for the Premier League 2019 season, you’ve got a whole lot of options regarding who you actually bet with.
At a basic level, picking a bookie comes down to your personal preferences. In short, it depends on what you value most highly in a bookmaker.
While there’s no “right” choice, however, it’s certainly worthwhile learning about your different options, and putting the time into choosing one.
These are the key criteria on which we rank bookies.
A nice welcome offer might help you decide between two bookmakers, but it shouldn’t be the biggest factor in your overall choice. These offers only tend to last a short while, after all, and you want a bookie you’re happy with for months or years to come.
Common welcome offers include matched deposits (e.g. you deposit £10, they give you £10 in free bets), and matched bets, which work in a similar way.
Finally, always make sure you read the Ts & Cs on a welcome offer before signing up!
In the long term, these are more important than welcome offers.
Ideally, you want a bookie that offers generous generic ongoing offers – accumulator bonuses, money back on lost bets, and so on – and specific offers for big EPL showdowns.
Quite simply, how many things does the bookie let you bet on?
Do they offer doubles, trebles and full accumulators? Can you pick the correct score? Can you take an over/under on corners?
The more betting options on offer, the more chances you have to make money.
Different bookies use different systems to calculate their odds, and some sites consistently offer better odds than others.
Make sure you find out which sites offer the best odds before signing up, either by reading informed reviews, or by using one of the many helpful odds-checking resources out there.
Again, the bookie that you pick for EPL betting now is hopefully going to be the one you use for months, if not years to come. Accordingly, you want to make sure the site is intuitively laid out, and simple to navigate.
We’d highly encourage checking out a few different sites, and taking a few minutes to browse each of them. You’ll quickly identify which has the best feel to it.
Mobile betting is massive business nowadays. You want a bookie that allows you to bet on-the-go, whether you’re in the pub, on a train, or even at the ground.
Most of the major bookies have their own mobile apps. Read up on reviews for them (paying particular attention to how reliable they are), and try them for yourself, before opening an account.
If the bookie you’re looking at doesn’t have an app, make sure the mobile version of their site is reliable and responsive.
Live streaming – usually only an option with the bigger bookies – is an exciting innovation that’s hit the online gambling world in recent years.
When you’re betting on a game – or just thinking about it – nothing compares to following along live. You get a far better feel for what’s happening, and can use that knowledge to either place a new in-play bet, or cash out an existing one.
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Premier League Betting Offers
All Premiership betting websites, without fail, will have offers. Signup offers are a great way to get new customers through the door, and ongoing promotions help them to stick around.
Not all betting offers are created equal, however. Here are some of the best ones to look for in a potential bookie:
1. Match Deposit Offers
One of the most common types of signup bonus. In short, you deposit a certain amount of money, and the bookie matches it.
This will usually be limited to a certain amount – £50, say – and the sum the bookie contributes will often come in the form of free bets, not real money.
2. Free Bets
The specific sum varies from bookie to bookie. A fairly standard example, however, is that if you deposit £10, they’ll give you £40 in Premier League free bets.
3. Enhanced Odds
Rather than giving you free bets, some bookies will instead offer significantly enhanced odds on a couple of bets.
For example, you might get a 100% Profit Boost on two bets you make, effectively doubling your winnings.
Offers for Existing Users
1. Generic Offers
Some ongoing offers can be used on any Premier League match, at any time.
Popular examples of these include Acca Insurance (get your money back if only one of your acca selections fails to come in), and in-play specials, where odds for specific events may be enhanced.
2. Event-Specific Offers
A good bookie will ensure they’re always involved in the biggest clashes, courtesy of event-specific offers.
These could be enhanced odds for certain goalscorers or results, or – more appealingly for the cautious gamblers out there – money-back specials.
Premier League Betting Options
As we mentioned earlier, the general rule of thumb is, “The more betting options, the better.” For the most part, however, there are a few key bets that you’ll place time and again. These include the following:
The most important betting option of all. There’s no messing around with Premiership outright betting. Quite simply, you’re picking the overall outcome of the match. In a Premier League game, you’ll always have three options: home win, draw and away win.
The over/under is another incredibly important bet. You take a half-number – 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, etc. – and bet on whether the total amount of goals scored will be over or under that number.
The classic over/under is 2.5 goals. It typically nets lower odds than the more extreme variants, going both ways, but it’s the safest selection to take.
Draw No Bet
Draw no bet is a relatively safe wager. You pick a side to win the game, but – if it ends in a draw – your bet is effectively cancelled, and you get your stake back. Nice!
Picking the first goalscorer can be tempting, as you’ll get higher odds, but anytime goalscorer is a safer bet. You’re simply picking one player to score at any point in the match.
The most famous wager in Premier League betting. In an accumulator betting, you pick four or more results (including draws), and each one needs to come in for you to win. Accas are tricky to win, but they give tantalizing odds, and are a whole lot of fun to root for.
In addition to these common betting options, there are a couple of other fun bet types we like which tend to fly under the radar:
Total Corners Taken
This works like an over/under – you pick a number, and bet whether the number of corners is more or less than that amount. This bet can be made for just one team, or for both teams combined.
In a double result, you bet on the result at half-time and at full time. For example, if you think the first half will be tight, but one team – let’s say Arsenal – will pull away in the second half, you’d take Draw/Arsenal.
If you’re extremely confident in your pre-match analysis, this is a great way to get better odds than you would be betting on the outright result.
One of the Most Competitive Seasons Ever
The 2018/19 Premier League season will be remembered as one of the most competitive to date and if the coming campaign goes anywhere close to matching that, we will be in for another white-knuckle ride from start to finish.
Manchester City were the big winners last term as they held off the attentions of Liverpool to win their second English top-flight title in two years. The Cityzens finished with stats of 32 wins and two draws against four defeats, leaving them a single point better than The Reds. The top four was made up of Man City, Liverpool, Chelsea and Tottenham, all securing qualification for the Champions League. Arsenal, Man Utd and Wolves banked a slot in the Europa League as a consolation prize.
At the opposite end of the charts we lost Huddersfield, Fulham and Cardiff to relegation and each of those three teams will be playing Championship football this year. Will they bounce back up to the top tier at the first time of asking? It’s not something that can be taken for granted as the Championship remains one of the most competitive divisions in European football. Norwich, Sheffield United and Aston Villa joined the ranks after bagging promotion.
Time to Make Your Predictions
Now we have the 20-team line-up for the coming season it’s time for sports bettors to make their predictions on what we can expect from the 2019/20 season. Will Pep Guardiola’s Man City win three-in-a-row or will Jurgen Klopp’s Liverpool go one better? Perhaps the eventual champion will come from further down the pecking order. Will the three promoted sides hold their own against the big boys, or will they bounce straight back down to the Championship?
The pre-season betting always acts as a decent indicator as to what we can expect as bookmakers offer their prices on the several exciting markets, including Premier League winner, top four finish, to be relegated and even top goal scorer. Will the traders prove to be on the money or is there value to be found by going against the grain?
The outright betting has Man City as hot favourites to complete the hat-trick and make another successful defence of their title, completing three-in-a-row. Backers happy to go with the favourites will find no more than Unibet’s 4/6 available. That may look tight, but the same bet is 4/7 with many other respected firms.
Having your cash on an odds-on shot over the course a season that lasts for the best part of a year isn’t everyone’s idea of fun and that will lead to many taking a chance on a rival overthrowing The Cityzens. Liverpool lost out by just one point last season, too many draws to blame for their silver medal, but there’s no doubt they will improve from that. The Reds will learn the lessons, invest in the squad and come back stronger. Fancy them to win the Premier League next year? William Hill are offering a market best price of 5/2 and that’s sure to be popular.
Others near the head of the antepost betting market to win the Premier League are Tottenham at 18/1, Frank Lampard’s Chelsea at 35/1, Man Utd 50/1 and the 66/1 about Arsenal. If going for a bigger price you may be interested to know most firms offer each-way terms of 1/3 the odds a place 1-2, meaning your team of choice will only have to end in the first two places to bag you a return.
Top Goal Scorer
The top goal scorer market is a real value for money bet as it offers a long list of attractive prices and it will also keep you active for the entire season, counting goals, matching them against the opposition and monitoring injury news. The list reads like a who’s who of world football and you can take a punt on a big-name favourite or go for a youngster you believe is ready to make his mark on the game by hitting the goals trail.
The trading teams at major betting firms have run the rule over the list and pin Harry Kane to the top of the market. If the Englishman can stay fit and free of injury for the entire season, there’s no doubt backers will get a serious run for their money and many believe him to be the best scorer in the world at the minute. William Hill offer 5/1 on Tottenham’s hitman winning the golden boot, with most firms stuck around the 4/1 mark.
Kane’s progress has been hampered by injury in recent seasons, however, so many punters will prefer to oppose the jolly with one at a bigger price. The second favourite is Liverpool’s Mo Salah who is certainly good enough to top score and plays for a side who will be fighting for prizes at the top end of the table. Salah appeals at 11/2, market best price offered by William Hill.
Others in the frame are Sergio Aguero at 6/1, Pierre-Emerick Aubamayang 9/1, Sadio Mane 12/1, Raheem Sterling 16/1, Alexandre Lacazette 25/1, Jamie Vardy 25/1 and Gabriel Jesus 33/1. You’ll get each-way terms of 1/4 the odds a place 1-2-3-4 if playing that market. It would, perhaps, be best to delay a bet on that one until the transfer window closes on the eve of the first league match of the new season, however.
That way you will get a full update on pre-season form as well as the final list of players starting the season. There’s no point getting in early to secure the value about a player who could be transferred out before the big kick-off, or perhaps a scorer from Europe is added to the pack late in the day.
Top 4 & 6 Finish
Who will land a top four finish this season and grab the riches of Champions League qualification? This market has never been as competitive, or indeed popular with backers, as it is now as there’s six or seven teams with a realistic chance of breaking into the top four.
When making a bet on this one there’s no real point going for Man City or Liverpool as they are priced like finishing outside of the top four is unthinkable. Therefore, to land a bit of value you’re looking for a team who are capable of gate crashing the party, improving on last season’s efforts.
For example, Man Utd missed out on Champions League football and that can be blamed on a poor start and less than impressive finish. They improved when Ole Gunnar Solskjsaer replaced Jose Mourinho and fans are hoping the former player can help the team hit the ground running this season.
The gaffer has been trusted with a chunky transfer kitty by the board and he has used it to bring in young, fresh, ambitious and hungry players who are desperate to make a name for themselves. Ole was part of a young Man Utd side that proved youth is no barrier to success and it’s, therefore, no surprise to see the direction taken by the Red Devils.
Will the team need time to settle or will they explode out of the traps in August? Man Utd are 6/5 with Betfred for a top four finish. Others on that list are Tottenham at 8/13 with Bet Victor, Chelsea 11/8 Boylesports, Arsenal 17/10 Betfair and Wolves 16/1 at William Hill.
Punters will find a bit more of a safety net in the top six finish betting. There we have slightly shorter prices as there’s two extra places on offer, but the market also gives players the chance to predict an outsider who can sneak into sixth. Wolves are available at 9/2 with Unibet, Everton look a fine bet at 6/1 with Bet Victor or you can try your luck on West Ham at 18/1.
Relegation vs Survival
How will the three sides added to the Premier League fare this season? We’ve seen promoted teams suffer a mixed bag of results in the past, some looking out of their depth and sliding back down into the Championship without putting up too much of a fight while others have enjoyed a remarkable debut season, flying off the excitement of being involved in one of the biggest and best divisions in the world. How will Norwich, Sheffield United and Aston Villa get on?
You can bet on each team to be relegated or survive and with the latter it doesn’t matter where they finish in the league, as long as they avoid the bottom three. If they have a good season you could be celebrating a winner well before the finish line. If you back a side to be relegated it also doesn’t matter their final position, as long as it’s 18th, 19th or 20th.
The relegation betting is dominated by the three recently promoted sides, as it always is, Sheffield United as odds-on favourites to go back down at the first time of asking. That may be a little unfair, given how good they were last season. The Blades are 4/6 at bet365 to be dumped back down into the second tier or, if you have a bit more faith in them, there’s 6/4 at Blacktype on them beating the drop by any means possible.
Norwich are second in the to be relegated betting and The Canaries have a 10/11 price tag attached by William Hill. Again, we can understand where they are coming from, but it is still too early to say how the club will perform and it would come as no shock to see them hold their own and finish 17th or higher. The odds on Norwich to stay up is 19/20 with Bethard. It looks like traders haven’t quite made up their minds on Norwich’s chances yet.
Aston Villa are expected to be the best of the promoted teams and you’ll notice they are 9/4 with bet365 to be relegated. That quote places them fifth in line and, considering they came up through the play-offs, that’s a bit of a surprise. They do have Premier League experience, however, and that may just have won them favour with the money men. Villa to survive and stay up come spring is a 4/11 play with most firms, including William Hill.
Others worth pointing out in the relegation market are Burnley at 21/10 with Betfair on the back of last season’s near miss. Brighton are also 21/10 when getting your cash down at Betfair or there’s 10/3 for Newcastle at bet365 and 5/1 Bournemouth when taking advantage of the generosity shown by the Bet Victor traders.
PFA Young Player of the Year
It’s not only league placings you can bet on but also awards and one market that is red hot at this time of year with dedicated followers of English football is the PFA Young Player of the Year market. Which wonderkid will be recognised as a star of the future? There’s certainly no lack of candidates in the running this term, but which player has the best chance of putting in a big season?
Trent Alexander Arnold is 7/1 favourite and he’s joined by Marcus Rashford who carries the same price tag. Leroy Sane is thought to be a real danger and you can back him at 9/1 before we get into double-figure odds. One player destined for a massive year is Gabriel Jesus and if he gets enough game time, he’s sure to be a contender. Supporters can get their hands on a fabulous 10/1 when betting with Betfair.
The Premier League is entertaining enough that you don’t need to bet on it. Having said that… having a wager or two in play definitely makes the viewing experience even more fun!
If you’re an inexperienced gambler, make sure that you follow our basic tips for betting strategy and picking a bookie. If you’ve been wagering on the EPL for a while now, you might find value in our analysis of the top six clubs, or you could consider trying out one of the lesser-known betting options we’ve identified.
Either way, we hope you’ve enjoyed the article, and – of course – that you’re as excited for the new season as we are!