The Premier League off season is often a difficult time for fans as they look for ways to fill the gap left by the beautiful game. It’s a time for players and coaches to recharge their batteries on the back of what was a hectic campaign, before setting out their goals for the coming season.
That leaves fans to reflect on the year we’ve just had, picking through what went right, what should be improved on and expectations for next term. There’s also the transfer window to hold our interest, teams making moves to add new additions to the squad in the hope it improves their chances of success. Deals done at this time of year could prove the difference between winning and losing when things get serious in August.
A star player sold, or big money spent on a flop. A young gun allowed to go out on loan or a wonderkid snapped up by a rival due to a lowball offer made by your chairman. The summer break is a crucial time and followers often get a feel for what to expect from teams by how they handle their business in pre-season.
That unpredictability also makes English Premier League betting endlessly entertaining. With so many markets to bet on, however, and so many bookies to bet with, it can be hard to know where to start. That’s exactly why we’ve put together this handy guide to EPL betting.
Premier League Info For 2020/21
Before starting your Premier League betting journey, there are a few crucial things you need to be aware of.
The 2020/21 Premier League season begins on 12th September 2020, and finishes on 23th May 2021. Each team will play 38 games within that span.
Other important dates to be aware of are the transfer windows.
For the first time in EPL history, the summer transfer window will close late, almost a month after the season start – That will happen on 11:00 on Monday, October 5, 2020.
Relegated and Promoted Clubs
As always, three clubs were relegated from the Premier League at the end of the 2019/20 season, and three were promoted from the Championship.
The three relegated clubs were:
- Norwich City
The three promoted clubs were:
- Leeds United (Champions)
- West Brom
- Fulham (Play-Offs Winners)
Premier League Betting Tips
There are a few Premiership betting tips which you absolutely must be aware of ahead of the new season.
These are the three most important:
1. Choose the Right Bookie.
We’ll talk about this in more detail below. In short, however, it’s highly worth putting the time into finding the right bookie for you. Have a good look around a few different sites, look into the sign up offers and ongoing promotions, and read plenty of reviews before making your pick.
2. Check the Odds
Putting down a good bet isn’t as simple as just wagering on what you think will happen. You also want to get good value.
If Man City are playing Fulham at home, for example, they’ll be massive, odds-on favourites to win. You’d have to bet so much money to make a profit that it’s simply not worth it.
If Leicester are playing Crystal Palace, on the other hand, the odds will be much more favourable on all three outcomes. It’d be more profitable to focus on this game.
Also, consider checking the odds regularly in the days before a match. If they’re going significantly up or down, this gives you an idea of what most people are betting on.
If Leicester start at 4/1 to beat Palace, for example, then you check back and they’re down to 2/1, that’s a sign lots of people think the Foxes are good value.
3. Listen to the Experts
The tricky thing about football is that everyone considers themselves an expert, from Alan Shearer to your mate Alan at the pub.
Do your research, and find experts who give sound, consistent and smart advice. Look for people who both watch the games, and use statistical analysis.
How to Choose a Site for Premier League Betting
When it comes to betting for the Premier League 2019 season, you’ve got a whole lot of options regarding who you actually bet with.
At a basic level, picking a bookie comes down to your personal preferences. In short, it depends on what you value most highly in a bookmaker.
While there’s no “right” choice, however, it’s certainly worthwhile learning about your different options, and putting the time into choosing one.
These are the key criteria on which we rank bookies.
A nice welcome offer might help you decide between two bookmakers, but it shouldn’t be the biggest factor in your overall choice. These offers only tend to last a short while, after all, and you want a bookie you’re happy with for months or years to come.
Common welcome offers include matched deposits (e.g. you deposit £10, they give you £10 in free bets), and matched bets, which work in a similar way.
Finally, always make sure you read the Ts & Cs on a welcome offer before signing up!
In the long term, these are more important than welcome offers.
Ideally, you want a bookie that offers generous generic ongoing offers – accumulator bonuses, money back on lost bets, and so on – and specific offers for big EPL showdowns.
Quite simply, how many things does the bookie let you bet on?
Do they offer doubles, trebles and full accumulators? Can you pick the correct score? Can you take an over/under on corners?
The more betting options on offer, the more chances you have to make money.
Different bookies use different systems to calculate their odds, and some sites consistently offer better odds than others.
Make sure you find out which sites offer the best odds before signing up, either by reading informed reviews, or by using one of the many helpful odds-checking resources out there.
Again, the bookie that you pick for EPL betting now is hopefully going to be the one you use for months, if not years to come. Accordingly, you want to make sure the site is intuitively laid out, and simple to navigate.
We’d highly encourage checking out a few different sites, and taking a few minutes to browse each of them. You’ll quickly identify which has the best feel to it.
Mobile betting is massive business nowadays. You want a bookie that allows you to bet on-the-go, whether you’re in the pub, on a train, or even at the ground.
Most of the major bookies have their own mobile apps. Read up on reviews for them (paying particular attention to how reliable they are), and try them for yourself, before opening an account.
If the bookie you’re looking at doesn’t have an app, make sure the mobile version of their site is reliable and responsive.
Live streaming – usually only an option with the bigger bookies – is an exciting innovation that’s hit the online gambling world in recent years.
When you’re betting on a game – or just thinking about it – nothing compares to following along live. You get a far better feel for what’s happening, and can use that knowledge to either place a new in-play bet, or cash out an existing one.
New customers only – £10 min deposit - The bonus will be applied once the full deposit amount has been wagered at least once with cumulative odds of 1.5 or greater. Wagering must be cleared within 90 days. This offer may not be combined with any other offer. Deposit methods, Withdrawal restrictions and Full T&C’s apply
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Min deposit £5. Bet Credits available for use upon settlement of bets to value of qualifying deposit. Min odds, bet and payment method exclusions apply. Returns exclude Bet Credits stake. Time limits and T&Cs apply.
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New customers only. Min deposit £10 (UK debit cards only) Bet £10 at odds of evens (2.0) or greater. Multiple bets with cumulative odds of evens (2.0) count, each leg must have odds of 1/5 (1.2) to be eligible. Each way bets are eligible for this promotion. Upon qualifying bet settlement, 1 x £5.00 Free Bet will be credited to your account. Once the first £5.00 Free Bet has been used a further 3 x £5.00 Free Bets will be applied to your account. Free bet stake not returned after bet settlement. Valid for 7 days, each Free Bet must be used in its entirety.
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New Customers; Min. deposit £15 (no Skrill/Neteller) 6x deposit and bonus turnover (min. odds 3/5 on singles and 2/5 per selection on acca bets), in 30 days, for bonus release Some bet types don’t contribute to turnover Withdrawal bef. turnover results in bonus cancellation; Terms apply; 18+
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Premier League Betting Offers
All Premiership betting websites, without fail, will have offers. Signup offers are a great way to get new customers through the door, and ongoing promotions help them to stick around.
Not all betting offers are created equal, however. Here are some of the best ones to look for in a potential bookie:
1. Match Deposit Offers
One of the most common types of signup bonus. In short, you deposit a certain amount of money, and the bookie matches it.
This will usually be limited to a certain amount – £50, say – and the sum the bookie contributes will often come in the form of free bets, not real money.
2. Free Bets
The specific sum varies from bookie to bookie. A fairly standard example, however, is that if you deposit £10, they’ll give you £40 in Premier League free bets.
3. Enhanced Odds
Rather than giving you free bets, some bookies will instead offer significantly enhanced odds on a couple of bets.
For example, you might get a 100% Profit Boost on two bets you make, effectively doubling your winnings.
Offers for Existing Users
1. Generic Offers
Some ongoing offers can be used on any Premier League match, at any time.
Popular examples of these include Acca Insurance (get your money back if only one of your acca selections fails to come in), and in-play specials, where odds for specific events may be enhanced.
2. Event-Specific Offers
A good bookie will ensure they’re always involved in the biggest clashes, courtesy of event-specific offers.
These could be enhanced odds for certain goalscorers or results, or – more appealingly for the cautious gamblers out there – money-back specials.
Premier League Betting Options
As we mentioned earlier, the general rule of thumb is, “The more betting options, the better.” For the most part, however, there are a few key bets that you’ll place time and again. These include the following:
The most important betting option of all. There’s no messing around with Premiership outright betting. Quite simply, you’re picking the overall outcome of the match. In a Premier League game, you’ll always have three options: home win, draw and away win.
The over/under is another incredibly important bet. You take a half-number – 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, etc. – and bet on whether the total amount of goals scored will be over or under that number.
The classic over/under is 2.5 goals. It typically nets lower odds than the more extreme variants, going both ways, but it’s the safest selection to take.
Draw No Bet
Draw no bet is a relatively safe wager. You pick a side to win the game, but – if it ends in a draw – your bet is effectively cancelled, and you get your stake back. Nice!
Picking the first goalscorer can be tempting, as you’ll get higher odds, but anytime goalscorer is a safer bet. You’re simply picking one player to score at any point in the match.
The most famous wager in Premier League betting. In an accumulator betting, you pick four or more results (including draws), and each one needs to come in for you to win. Accas are tricky to win, but they give tantalizing odds, and are a whole lot of fun to root for.
In addition to these common betting options, there are a couple of other fun bet types we like which tend to fly under the radar:
Total Corners Taken
This works like an over/under – you pick a number, and bet whether the number of corners is more or less than that amount. This bet can be made for just one team, or for both teams combined.
In a double result, you bet on the result at half-time and at full time. For example, if you think the first half will be tight, but one team – let’s say Arsenal – will pull away in the second half, you’d take Draw/Arsenal.
If you’re extremely confident in your pre-match analysis, this is a great way to get better odds than you would be betting on the outright result.
Time to Make Your Predictions
It is often said that the Premier League is a marathon not a sprint, and the 2019/20 season proved to be particularly grueling. The title may have been all but sewn up before the lockdown but there was plenty of betting action for punters to enjoy during the frenetic resumption, and as we gear up for the belated start of 2020/21, football betting fans can look forward to another fascinating campaign.
Will Liverpool be able to hold on to their title, or will Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City wrestle back their crown? Could a resurgent Manchester United break up the party? Could we see an Arsenal or Tottenham revival?
And how will the newly promoted clubs fare? There’s so much to look forward to and debate, but with the new season fast approaching, it’s time to make your predictions.
The Premier League winners market often features a short-priced favourite, usually Manchester City, and the Citizens are once again top of the market, available at 5/6 and shorter.
The assumption behind those odds is that Liverpool won’t be able to maintain the excellence of the last two seasons, and that City have solved their defensive problems with the return of Aymeric Laporte and the signing of Nathan Ake. They’ve also brought in young Spanish star Fernan Torres, though whether he will be an adequate replacement for Leroy Sane remains to be seen.
Those who are wary about taking such a short price about Guardiola’s men, however, will point to the 18-point gap between Liverpool and City at the end of last season, and the fact that Guardiola may be under pressure to prioritise the Champions League. Although they haven’t yet brought in substantial reinforcements, odds of 9/4 about Liverpool retaining their title could look generous a few weeks in.
The top two are dominating this market, but that means big odds for punters who are prepared to look at their rivals. Manchester United finished strongly last time round, with the addition of Bruno Fernandes resolving their midfield woes and galvanising their impressive front line. Donny van de Beek is an excellent midfield signing, although punters who were hoping United might snap up Jadon Sancho and others to further boost their front line have been disappointed.
There are no such disappointments at Chelsea. Released from their transfer shackles, the Blues have been making big waves, bringing in four big name players in Hakim Ziyech, Timo Werner, Kai Havertz and Ben Chilwell, and if Frank Lampard can get the best out of them, they may have a shot at 10/1.
It’s hard to look outside the top four for the title this year, despite renewed optimism at Arsenal and Tottenham, and both of those north London rivals are 33/1 and bigger, although rumours of a potential Gareth Bale return could see Spurs’ odds shorten a touch from their current 50/1.
Meanwhile, last season’s leading contenders from the pack, Leicester City and Wolves, have few supporters in the Winner’s market. Leicester are 8th in the betting at 250/1 to reprise their 2015/16 success, while Wolves, who endured a campaign that lasted for more than twelve months in 2019/20 are a similar price to cause a major title shock. Intriguingly, newly-promoted Leeds United, led by maverick boss Marcelo Bielsa, have leapfrogged both of them, and are rated as 7th favourites at 150/1, which may tempt a few optimistic Leeds fans to have a flutter.
If you’re looking for a market with a little more volatility, the Top Goalscorer section could be worth a look in 2020/21. Last season saw the top three spots claimed by strikers from outside the top four, with Jamie Vardy clinching it for the first time, ahead of Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Danny Ings.
Vardy is a 16/1 shot to defend his title, but Leicester may struggle to reproduce their strong form of the first half of last season, and with Arsenal expected to improve further in 2020/21, their spearhead Aubameyang may be the preferred option for punters at 6/1, having placed in the top three in both of his full seasons in the Premier League.
His main challenge looks likely to come from the old guard, though top scorer regulars Harry Kane (6/1) and Harry Kane (8/1) have worrying injury records in recent months, so Mohammed Salah, at 5/1, could be popular with punters, though he hasn’t quite recreated the brilliance of his 32-goal 2017-18 campaign. And the wildcard in this market is German ace Werner. He’s a pure goalscorer and at 12/1 he could represent excellent value if he settles at Stamford Bridge.
If you’re looking for a surprise contender from further down the list to emulate Danny Ings, there are a couple of intriguing options. Tammy Abraham bagged 15 Premier League goals for Chelsea last season, and was the club’s highest top scorer overall, so with further improvement expected from the young England striker, he could have some supporters in this market at 33/1. And if Leeds have a strong season, their main goal scorer Patrick Bamford (150) could be in a position to emulate Jamie Vardy, who made a big impact in the top flight after several seasons in the lower echelons.
Top 4 and 6 Finish
The battle to gain Champions League or Europa League football is often more keenly and closely contested than the race for the Premier League title and the recent decline of Tottenham and Arsenal opened the door for the most ambitious of the division’s mid-table sides last season.
Unfortunately for those outside the traditional top six, there are signs that Arsenal and Tottenham are returning to their usual place at the top table of English football. Under Mikel Arteta Arsenal are clearly improving. They have made some astute acquisitions in the transfer market and their FA Cup heroics, as well as their Community Shield success, showed they are learning to compete with the division’s top sides. They are rated as 11/4 shots for the top four, while Jose Mourinho’s Tottenham are 3/1. The Portuguese veteran may not be at the peak of his powers, but his record is hard to argue with and it would be a big surprise if he couldn’t drive Spurs to improve on last season’s sixth place.
That resurgence of the north London giants could make it difficult for Leicester City, who made a strong start to the 2019-20 campaign but slipped out of the Champions League places at the death. There are suggestions of discontent among the fans, and if the Foxes carry on where they left off, even the odds of 5/2 about them finishing in the top six may not appeal to punters. Wolves are likely to be involved again, but they haven’t strengthened this summer and their 2019/20 exertions may finally have caught up with them. They are no longer the surprise package of the Premier League and they could struggle to replicate their recent success, though they are also 5/2 to make the top six.
At 5/1, Carlo Ancelotti’s Everton could be the best candidates to sneak into the top six. We’ve been here before with the Toffees, but after many false dawns, this could be the year when they start to rouse from their slumber. Ancelotti is one of the best in the business and the club have been bold in the transfer market, bringing in superstar James Rodriguez and highly rated Brazilian Allan.
Based on the Premier League Winners market, Leeds could also have a say in the top six battle, although curiously they are rated behind Everton, Wolves and Leciester at 25/1 to finish in the top four and 14/1 to make the top six. In the last two seasons, newly promoted Wolves and Sheffield United have made an impact in the upper echelons and Leeds are arguably a bigger club than both of those. Marcelo Bielsa’s side were hugely impressive in the Championship and have been busy in the transfer market, so it would be no surprise to see them involved.
Relegation v Survival
The fiercest competition can often be found in the Premier League relegation battle, and it is no surprise to see two promoted sides top the betting here. West Bromwich Albion have made some astute acquisitions in the transfer market, as have play-off winners Fulham, but both squads look light on top flight talent, which explains their 11/10 quotes in the relegation market.
Aston Villa have a year’s experience under their belt, although their chances of defying relegation odds of 2/1 may rest on whether they can keep hold of Jack Grealish, and if he goes, those odds could look tempting. Steve Bruce’s Newcastle arguably over-performed last season, and with no sign of a resolution to their ongoing ownership woes, could be solid candidates for the drop at 9/4 while Crystal Palace are available at the same odds, and Sheffield United are 4/1 to have a difficult second season in the Premier League.
Top PFA Young Player of the Year
One of the most interesting and volatile betting markets is the PFA Young Player of the Year, confined to players who are 23 and younger at the start of the campaign. This time round, it looks like being dominated by teams from the north west. The 2019-20 winner, Liverpool’s Trent Alexander Arnold tops the betting at 9/2 but Manchester United young guns Marcus Rashford (7/1) and Mason Greenwood (13/2) are both expected to build on their excellent performances from the last campaign.
Chelsea’s Christian Pulisic was impressive last season and will have plenty of support at 8/1, but his fellow Blues star Mason Mount has more potential for improvement and at odds of 16/1, he could get the attention of punters who study this market for value.