Two neighbours meet on the approach to Christmas but there will be no festivities between Tottenham and Chelsea. The Premier League rivals face off from 4.30pm on Sunday afternoon and armchair fans can follow the play live on Sky Sports. Who will come out on top?

The winner of this London derby match is anyone’s guess at this stage, but bookmakers have had their say, pricing up a competitive book. The traders have Spurs as 7/5 favourites – best price at Betfair – while a Chelsea win will net you a handy 15/8 with the same firm. Can’t split them? The draw will be popular at 13/5 (Ladbrokes).

As well as pre-match winner betting, followers of this match will also find several exciting specials. These include both teams to score, total goals, first goal scorer, correct score and handicap. When the first whistle sounds, in-play betting means a punt is always possible while the markets are live.

Spurs Back in Business

Tottenham reached the final of the UEFA Champions League last season, beaten by Liverpool. They were expected to improve for the effort and come back stronger this term. A Premier League title tilt was predicted by many fans but that has already been ruled out. A woeful start to the campaign saw manager Mauricio Pochettino lose his job. He was replaced almost instantly by Jose Mourinho. The Special One has now managed Chelsea, Man Utd and Tottenham in England.

Son Heung-Min of Tottenham Hotspur celebrates with Harry Kane after scoring his sides third goal

Will he find success on his return to London? Winning the title is already a bridge too far, Spurs more than 20 points behind leaders Liverpool, but a return to winning ways has thrown them into contention for a top four finish. That would be a real success story for Mourinho. The home team prepare for this match having won four of their last five and each of their two most recent goes. The hat-trick would send out a message of intent from the club, proving they are back in business and ready to battle for the prize places.

Work to Be Done at Chelsea

There was a feeling that Frank Lampard had hit the ground running at Chelsea, which was incredible given the restrictions he was working under. The new boss made a fantastic start to live back at Stamford Bridge, driving his team into the top four on the back of a run of away wins. It didn’t last, however, and the blues make this trip having lost four and won one of their last five. They suffered back-to-back defeats in their last two.

As a result, Chelsea have dropped to fourth in the Premier League pecking order. They are clinging on to a Champions League slot but there’s plenty of football still to be played. Things must improve at Chelsea. They must rediscover their best form if they are to fight back. Perhaps the hectic winter schedule is beginning to take its toll on what is a young and inexperienced Chelsea team. Lampard will be glad to see the back of 2019. A big push is needed if they are to get over the line and they enter this match aware Spurs are just three points behind in fifth.  The outcome of this match could pave the way for the remainder of the season for both teams involved.

Trust the Home Form

Tottenham and Chelsea met four times last season with the head-to-head stats showing two wins each. Spurs claimed a 3-1 home win over the blues back in November 2018 on Premier League duty and battled to a 1-0 at the same venue in the EFL Cup a few weeks later. Chelsea then got revenge with a 2-1 cup win at Stamford Bridge before signing off with a 2-0 league victory.

It is interesting that the team playing at home won each time last season. The form of both teams going into this game pushes us towards a bet on Tottenham continuing that trend with another victory in front of their own fans. The 7/5 offered by Betfair looks to be on the generous side and there’s enough there to back it as a super single or in accumulators.

STATS

  • When scoring first, a Mourinho led team hasn’t lost a league game since 2015
  • Chelsea failed to score against Bournemouth last time
  • Moura has scored three goals in five games since Mourinho took charge
  • Chelsea lost 3-1 away to Everton earlier this month
  • Both teams scored in three of Spurs first four matches of December